This book addresses the critical need for accurate forecasting models to predict the health trajectory of aging populations. Kenneth G. Manton, a recognized expert in the field, synthesizes current methodologies and future challenges in projecting mortality, morbidity, and disability among the elderly. The work examines the complexities of utilizing census and social security data, explores actuarial and health care statistical perspectives, and evaluates the influence of technological advancements on the health and well-being of older adults. It provides a comprehensive overview of the factors influencing health outcomes and expenditures in this demographic.

This volume is presented as an indispensable reference for researchers and policymakers concerned with the health of elderly populations. The breadth of topics covered, from chronic disease modeling to the financing of long-term care and the impact of technology, suggests a comprehensive and authoritative resource. Its focus on data uncertainties and forecasting methodologies indicates a rigorous, analytical approach to complex demographic and health challenges. The book aims to equip professionals with the tools and insights necessary for informed policy development.