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Delphi method of caclulation
This text investigates the systematic application of the Delphi method as a structured communication technique for group decision-making and forecasting. Murray Turoff, a pioneer in the field of computerized conferencing and policy analysis, provides a comprehensive framework for utilizing expert panels to achieve consensus on complex, ill-structured problems. The book outlines the methodological rigor required to mitigate groupthink and cognitive bias in collaborative environments.
What You Will Find
Experts recognize this work as a foundational text for understanding the mechanics of expert-based forecasting. Readers frequently note the technical density of the prose, which serves as a primary reference for researchers and practitioners in decision science.
Page Count:
620
Publication Date:
1975-01-01
Publisher:
Addison-Wesley Pub. Co., Advanced Book Program
ISBN-10:
0201042940
ISBN-13:
9780201042948
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