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Combat models attempt to represent the various factors that can influence combat outcomes. The most difficult of these factors to define and represent are the purely human inputs into the combat equation. These include factors such as personality, emotion, and level of expertise, which vary from individual to individual. The process of decision-making during combat is one of the most problematic modeling challenges. Traditional models of human decision- making do not adequately address the factors listed above. This thesis addresses this issue by proposing an influence diagram, which builds on traditional utility theory to include the human element in combat decision-making. The model is examined by application to three historical case studies. The results show that the outputs of the model are consistent with the end-state of the three historical battles.
This thesis proposes a novel influence diagram to incorporate human psychological factors into combat decision-making models. The author, Amy Barsnick, addresses the challenge of quantifying subjective human inputs like personality, emotion, and expertise, which traditional models often overlook. By building upon utility theory, the proposed model aims to provide a more comprehensive representation of combat decision processes. The efficacy of this model is then tested through its application to three historical military engagements.
This work presents a specialized approach to combat modeling, focusing on the often-overlooked human elements that influence decision-making. The methodology, which extends traditional utility theory with psychological factors, is examined through historical case studies. The author's application of the model to these cases suggests its potential utility in understanding past conflicts and informing future simulations.
Page Count:
81
Publication Date:
2002-06-01
Publisher:
Storming Media
ISBN-10:
1423509528
ISBN-13:
9781423509523
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