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From one of the world's leading experts on the history of energy, a rigorous examination of the transitions that structure our modern world--and the environmental reckoning that will mark its success or failure.What makes the modern world work? The answer to this deceptively simple question lies in four "grand transitions" of civilization--in populations, agriculture, energy, and economics--which have transformed the way we live.Societies that have undergone all four transitions emerge into an era of radically different population dynamics, food surpluses (and waste), abundant energy use, and expanding economic opportunities. Simultaneously, in other parts of the world, hundreds of millions remain largely untouched by these developments.Through erudite storytelling, Vaclav Smil investigates the fascinating and complex interactions of these transitions. He argues that the moral imperative to share modernity's benefits has become more acute with increasing economic inequality, but addressing this imbalance would make it exceedingly difficult to implement the changes necessary for the long-term preservation of the environment. Thus, managing the fifth transition--environmental changes from natural-resource depletion, biodiversity loss, and global warming--will determine the success or eventual failure of the grand transitions that have made the world we live in today.
How do the four fundamental transitions of population, agriculture, energy, and economics define the structure of modern civilization and dictate the requirements for future environmental sustainability? Vaclav Smil, a renowned analyst of energy history and global systems, utilizes extensive historical data and quantitative analysis to map the development of modern societies. He argues that while these four transitions have provided unprecedented material abundance, they have also created deep global inequalities and severe ecological pressures. The author posits that the current challenge lies in managing a fifth transition—environmental preservation—without compromising the stability of the systems that support the modern world.
What You Will Find
Scope Limits
Experts recognize this work as a dense, data-driven synthesis of global development trends that avoids simplistic solutions. Readers frequently note the academic rigor of the prose, which prioritizes empirical evidence and historical context over speculative forecasting.
Page Count:
384
Publication Date:
2021-03-01
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
ISBN-10:
0190060662
ISBN-13:
9780190060664
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