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The ”official future” says that women are moving toward equality with men. If not in our lifetime, we say, then in our children's.Think again.If the rate of change during the last twenty years holds, it would be 2270 before women and men were equally likely to be top managers of major corporations.In The Futures of Women, Pamela McCorduck and Nancy Ramsey explore four dramatically different alternatives for the coming years. Using a powerful new way of understanding trends—scenario planning—the authors paint these vivid landscapes: ”Backlash,” ”A Golden Age of Equality,” ”Two Steps Forward, Two Steps Back,” and Separate—and Doing Fine, Thanks.” Each scenario has its own inner logic, firmly grounded in today's events, today's demographic and social trends, and in tomorrow's technological promises, but each one derives from a different combination of the political, social, and economic conditions that could prevail over the next twenty years. The authors' report from the recent UN Fourth World Conference on Women in Beijing further supports their scenarios.The book began as a project for the Global Business Network, a unique consulting firm whose scenario planning methods have helped governments, policymakers, and business leaders create effective strategies for the future. Decisions take on new meaning when we can ”live” for awhile in the world that would result from a course of action we're now considering.Imagine a world where as many women as men are elected to the U.S. Congress. Or, a world where fear for personal safety causes women to don the Muslim chador on Western streets. Or, imagine a national economic policy influenced by giant pension funds whose managers and clients are mainly women. Or, a world where exclusive resorts cater to the sexual needs of busy women executives.Are any of these worlds in our future? Any one of them could be. Only by understanding how we could move from here to there—how the choices we make today could actually play out—can we ho
This book investigates the trajectory of gender equality in the twenty-first century by questioning whether current progress is sustainable or if alternative, less optimistic outcomes are more likely. Authors Nancy Ramsey and Pamela McCorduck, drawing on their work with the Global Business Network, utilize scenario planning to project how current demographic, economic, and political trends might evolve. By analyzing data from the UN Fourth World Conference on Women and broader social indicators, they construct four distinct potential futures to help policymakers and citizens evaluate the long-term consequences of present-day decisions.
What You Will Find
Experts and readers recognize this work as a significant application of business-oriented scenario planning to complex social issues. The text is frequently cited for its ability to translate abstract sociological trends into concrete, manageable models for strategic planning.
Page Count:
304
Publication Date:
1996-04-22
Publisher:
Basic Books
ISBN-10:
0201489783
ISBN-13:
9780201489781
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