
Roy Amara, J. Ian Morrison, Gregory Schmid.
This work investigates the trajectory of the American health care system by analyzing emerging socio-economic trends and their long-term implications for policy and delivery. The authors, affiliated with the Institute for the Future, utilize a forecasting framework to evaluate how demographic shifts, technological advancements, and economic pressures will reshape the medical landscape. By synthesizing historical data with predictive modeling, they argue that systemic reform is inevitable as current cost structures and access models reach their functional limits.
What You Will Find
Scope Limits
Experts recognize this text as a foundational exercise in health care forecasting, noting its systematic approach to long-range planning. Readers frequently highlight the clarity of the authors' methodology, though some note that the specific predictions require adjustment based on subsequent shifts in federal policy.
Page Count:
199
Publication Date:
1988-01-01
Publisher:
McGraw-Hill
ISBN-10:
0070013845
ISBN-13:
9780070013841
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