
As an Amazon Associate and affiliate partner, Menrva Books earns from qualifying purchases. Learn more
This paper utilizes a unique high-frequency database to measure how exchange rates in nine emerging markets react to macroeconomic news in the U.S. and domestic economies from 2000 to 2006. We find that major U.S. macroeconomic news have a strong impact on the returns and volatilities of emerging market exchange rates, but many domestic news do not. Emerging market currencies have become more sensitive to U.S. news in recent years. We also find that market sentiment could sway the impact of news on these currencies systematically, as good (bad) news seems to matter more when optimism (pessimism) prevails. Market uncertainty also interacts with macroeconomic news in a statistically significant way, but its role varies across currencies and news.
This paper investigates the sensitivity of emerging market exchange rates to macroeconomic news from both the U.S. and domestic economies. The study employs a high-frequency database covering nine emerging markets from 2000 to 2006 to analyze the impact of U.S. and domestic macroeconomic announcements on exchange rate returns and volatilities. Key findings indicate that major U.S. macroeconomic news significantly influence these exchange rates, while many domestic news items have a lesser effect. The research also reveals an increasing sensitivity of emerging market currencies to U.S. news over time and explores the moderating roles of market sentiment and uncertainty.
The analysis presented in this paper offers a detailed examination of how macroeconomic news influences emerging market foreign exchange rates. The findings suggest a significant impact from U.S. economic announcements, with a notable trend of increasing sensitivity in recent years. The study also highlights the complex interplay of market sentiment and uncertainty in shaping these currency movements. This research provides valuable insights for understanding the dynamics of foreign exchange markets in developing economies.
Page Count:
62
Publication Date:
2013-02-06
Publisher:
BiblioGov
ISBN-10:
1288725213
ISBN-13:
9781288725212
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!