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Philip E. Tetlock

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Behavior, Society, and Nuclear War: Volume II
Behavior, Society, and Nuclear War: Volume I (Behavior, Society, & Nuclear War)
Behavior, Society, and International Conflict: Volume III
Behavior, Society, and Nuclear War: Volume II
Behavior, Society, and Nuclear War: Volume I
Superforecasting
Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics
Unmaking the West
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Superforecasting - Die Kunst der richtigen Prognose
Superprognozowanie. Sztuka i nauka prognozowania
Superforecasting
HBR's 10 Must Reads on Managing Risk
HBR's 10 Must Reads on Managing Risk (with bonus article "Managing 21st-Century Political Risk" by Condoleezza Rice and Amy Zegart)

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