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The economies of the Arab states of the Gulf have gone through considerable changes in the last decade, spurred by high oil prices and ambitious diversification plans. Large-scale immigration provided the labour force while capital inflows and financial development leveraged oil wealth to finance diversification. The collapse in real estate prices around the world followed by the global crisis slowed growth and raised questions on the appropriateness of what has been dubbed the 'GCC model'.The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries have thus far managed to leverage their large natural resource wealth to achieve economic prosperity and finance social advances, and the region also emerged as an important source of funds for the other countries in the Middle East. Nevertheless, the GCC face several challenges. Productivity growth must increase to fully reap the benefits of investment. Jobs must be created for the nationals and the growing youth population. State intervention (which is prevalent, given that oil revenues accrue to the government) must become efficient and be used to diversify and modernize the economy. In addition, the recent crisis highlighted the importance of fiscal, monetary, and financial stability policies to manage macroeconomic cycles. This book analyses these issues and combines data and econometric analysis with theoretical discussions. It concludes with a discussion of the importance of the GCC for the wider region.
This book investigates the sustainability and evolution of the economic model utilized by the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries in the wake of global financial instability and fluctuating oil markets. The authors, affiliated with the International Monetary Fund, synthesize extensive economic data and econometric modeling to evaluate how these nations have leveraged natural resource wealth to drive diversification. They argue that while the GCC model has historically facilitated prosperity, future stability depends on structural reforms regarding productivity, labor market integration for nationals, and the efficiency of state-led investment strategies.
What You Will Find
Experts recognize this work as a rigorous, data-driven analysis of the GCC economic framework that is particularly useful for policymakers and regional economists. Readers frequently note the technical density of the prose, which relies heavily on quantitative evidence to support its conclusions regarding long-term fiscal stability.
Page Count:
240
Publication Date:
2013-12-31
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
ISBN-10:
0199683794
ISBN-13:
9780199683796
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