Author Description

I. Prologue -- Confessions Of A Forecaster / Harold A. Linstone -- The Nature Of Futures Problems / W.h. Clive Simmonds -- Ii. Shifting Foundations -- Tintroduction / Harold A. Linstone -- Future Problems Or Problems In Future Studies / John Mchale -- The Future Of Culture / Geoffrey Vickers -- On The Error Of The Third Kind. Toward A Generalized Methodology For Future Studies / Ian I. Mitroff -- Values And Futures / Denis J. Loveridge -- Bringing The Feminine Into Forecasting. Forseeing And Learning / Ritva Kaje -- Iii. Managing Complexity -- Introduction / Harold A. Linstone -- A Philosophy For Complexity / C. West Churchman -- Planning's Challenge To The Systems Approach / Donald N. Michael -- Large Systems / Richard Bellman -- The Curious Behavior Of Complex Systems: Lessons From Ecology / C.s. Holling -- Iv. Questioning The Methodology -- Introduction / Harold A. Linstone -- Getting The Problem Right -- A Role For Structural Modeling / Mick Mclean -- Conception Of Futures In A Systems Framework / Devendra Sahal -- Some Thoughts On The Mathematical Method And Futures Problems / Wladimir M. Sachs -- Epistemological Aspects Of Technology Assessment / Henryk Skolimowski -- V: Recent Projects -- Introduction / Harold A. Donstone -- One Organization's Experience / Peter M.s. Jones -- The Public And The Furure / Goran Backstrand -- Investigating Potential Value Changes / Marvin J. Getron And Audrey Clayton -- The Problem Of Critical Problem Selection / Peter Teige, Willis Harman, Peter Schwartz -- Epilogue / Harold A. Linstone And W.h. Clive Simmonds. Edited By Harold A. Linstone, W. H. Clive Simmonds; Contributors, Göran Bäckstrand... [et Al.] Includes Bibliographical References And Index.