Author Description
Traditional Strategy Assumes Stability And Predictability. Today's World Is Better Characterised By Turbulence, Uncertainty, Novelty And Ambiguity - Conditions That Contribute Disruptive Changes And Trigger The Search For New Ways Of Coping. This Book Aims To Become The Premier Guide On How To Do Scenario Planning To Support Strategy And Public Policy. Co-authored By Three Experts In The Field, The Book Presents The Oxford Scenario Planning Approach (ospa). The Approach Is Both Intellectually Rigorous And Practical. Methodological Choices And Theoretical Aspects In Practice Are Detailed In Reference To The Relevant Literatures And Grounded In 6 Case Studies The Authors Have Been Involved With. The Book Makes Several Contributions To The Field, Centred On How Learning With Scenario Planning Is Supported By Re-framing And Re-perception; How This Iterative Process Can Be Embedded In Corporate Or Government Settings, And How It Helps Those That It Supports To Do Well In Today's World. The Book Is Written In An Accessible Style And Will Be A Useful Introductory Text As Well As A Useful Guide For The More Experienced Scenario Planning Practitioner And Scholar.
Menrva's Summary
THE THESIS
This book investigates how organizations can effectively navigate environments defined by turbulence, uncertainty, novelty, and ambiguity through the application of the Oxford Scenario Planning Approach (OSPA). The authors, experts in strategic foresight and policy, argue that traditional static planning models are insufficient for modern disruptive conditions. By integrating theoretical rigor with practical application, they present a framework designed to support both corporate and government decision-making processes.
THE SCOPE MAP
What You Will Find
- The Oxford Scenario Planning Approach (OSPA) methodology
- Theoretical foundations of re-framing and re-perception in strategic planning
- Six detailed case studies illustrating the application of OSPA in real-world settings
- Guidance on embedding iterative planning processes within organizational structures
Scope Limits
- The text focuses primarily on the OSPA framework rather than a broad survey of all competing foresight methodologies
- It does not provide exhaustive coverage of long-term predictive forecasting outside of the scenario-based approach
THE AUTHORITY PERSPECTIVE
Experts and practitioners identify this work as a foundational text for those seeking to integrate scenario planning into complex organizational environments. Readers frequently note the balance between academic depth and the practical utility of the provided case studies.
Page Count:
272
Publication Date:
2016-01-01
ISBN-10:
0191062898
ISBN-13:
9780191062896
Business
Public Policy
Strategy
Planning
Management
Decision Making