
As an Amazon Associate and affiliate partner, Menrva Books earns from qualifying purchases. Learn more
Moritz Schulz explores counterfactual thought and language: what would have happened if things had gone a different way. Counterfactual questions may concern large scale derivations (what would have happened if Nixon had launched a nuclear attack) or small scale evaluations of minor derivations (what would have happened if I had decided to join a different profession). A common impression, which receives a thorough defence in the book, is that oftentimes we find it impossible to know what would have happened. However, this does not mean that we are completely at a loss: we are typically capable of evaluating counterfactual questions probabilistically: we can say what would have been likely or unlikely to happen. Schulz describes these probabilistic ways of evaluating counterfactual questions and turns the data into a novel account of the workings of counterfactual thought.
This book investigates the logical and cognitive mechanisms that allow humans to evaluate counterfactual scenarios through the lens of probability rather than binary certainty. Moritz Schulz, a philosopher specializing in logic and language, argues that while we often cannot determine the exact outcome of a counterfactual event, we possess a robust capacity to assign probabilistic likelihoods to these hypothetical states. He constructs a formal framework that bridges the gap between counterfactual reasoning and probabilistic assessment, challenging the notion that uncertainty renders such thought experiments useless.
What You Will Find
Scope Limits
Scholars in the field of analytic philosophy recognize this work as a rigorous contribution to the study of conditionals and modal logic. Readers frequently note the academic density of the prose, which is best suited for those with a background in formal logic or philosophy of language.
Page Count:
256
Publication Date:
2017-01-01
Publisher:
OUP Oxford
ISBN-10:
0191089060
ISBN-13:
9780191089060
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!